According to IATA, passenger demand remains strong in September

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has released passenger data for September 2022 showing the air travel recovery remains strong.

total traffic in September 2022 (measured in revenue passenger kilometers or RPKs) increased by 57.0% compared to September 2021. Global traffic is now 73.8% of September 2019 levels.

domestic traffic for September 2022 6.9% higher than in the same period last year. Total domestic traffic in September 2022 was 81% of September 2019 levels.

international traffic increased by 122.2% compared to September 2021. International RPKs in September 2022 reached 69.9% of September 2019 levels. All markets saw strong growth led by Asia Pacific.

Despite economic and geopolitical uncertainties, demand for air transport continues to recover. The outlier is still China, with its push for a zero-COVID strategy that is keeping borders largely closed and creating a demand roller coaster for its domestic market, with September down 46.4% yoy. That is in sharp contrast to the rest of Asia-Pacific, which saw a 464.8% increase in international traffic compared to the same period last year, despite China’s dismal performance‘ said Willie Walsh, Director General of IATA.

Air Passenger Market Details – September 2022 world share?1 RPK Questions PLF(%-PT)?2 pLF(LEVEL)?3

overall market

100%

57.0%

29.1%

14.5%

81.6%

Africa

1.9%

89.2%

50.2%

15.3%

74.3%

Asia Pacific

27.5%

51.9%

22.2%

14.6%

74.7%

Europe

25.0%

60.4%

34.1%

13.9%

84.7%

Latin America

6.5%

47.8%

39.4%

4.7%

82.3%

middle East

6.6%

138.6%

57.7%

26.9%

79.5%

North America

32.6%

39.7%

18.1%

13.3%

85.5%

1) % of industrial RPKs in 2021 2) YoY change in load factor 3) Load factor level

International passenger markets

Asia Pacific airlines recorded a 464.8% increase in traffic volume in September compared to September 2021, the strongest year-on-year rate among the regions. Capacity increased by 165.3% and load factor increased by 41.5 percentage points to 78.3%.

European airlines Traffic in September increased by 78.3% compared to September 2021. Capacity increased by 43.8% and load factor increased by 16.3 percentage points to 84.1%, the second highest among regions.

Middle East Airlines recorded a 149.7% increase in traffic volume in September compared to September 2021. Capacity in September increased by 63.5% compared to the same period last year, and the load factor increased by 27.6 percentage points to 80.0%.

North American Airlines recorded a 128.9% increase in traffic in September compared to the 2021 period. Capacity increased by 63.0% and the load factor increased by 24.6 percentage points to 85.4%, the highest among regions for the fourth month in resulted.

Latin American Airlines Traffic in September increased by 99.4% compared to the same month in 2021. Capacity in September increased by 73.7% and load factor increased by 10.8 percentage points to 83.5%.

African airlines saw a 90.5% year-over-year increase in RPKs in September. Capacity in September 2022 increased by 47.2% and load factor increased by 16.7 percentage points to 73.6%, the lowest among regions.

Domestic Passenger Markets

September 2022 (% yoy) share world1 RPK Questions plf (%-PT)?2 plf (PLANE)?3

Domestic

62.3%

6.9%

-3.2%

7.6%

80.6%

Domestic Australia

0.8%

276.0%

144.9%

29.4%

84.4%

Domestic Brazil

1.9%

14.9%

15.8%

-0.6%

80.5%

Domestic PRC

17.8%

-46.4%

-45.9%

-0.6%

67.0%

Domestic India

2.0%

42.6%

30.7%

6.6%

78.9%

Domestic Japan

1.1%

127.9%

44.9%

23.8%

65.2%

US domestic

25.6%

16.8%

3.7%

9.6%

85.4%

1) % of industrial RPKs in 2021 2) YoY change in load factor 3) Load factor level

Japan’s domestic RPKs rose 127.9% in September and are now at nearly 75.6% of 2019 levels.

US Domestic traffic increased by 16.8% in September from September 2021, up 0.4% from September 2019 levels. The load factor of 85.4% was the highest among domestic markets.

September 2022 (%ch compared to same month in 2019) share world1 rpk Questions plf (%-PT)?2 plf (PLANE)?3

TOTAL MARKET

100.0%

-26.2%

-25.9%

-0.3%

81.6%

International

37.7%

-30.1%

-30.6%

0.5%

82.2%

Domestic

62.3%

-19.0%

-17.3%

-1.7%

80.6%

1) % of industrial RPKs in 2021 2) YoY change in load factor 3) Load factor level

The final result

Strong demand is helping the industry deal with sky-high fuel prices. To support this demand over the long term, we need to pay attention to what travelers tell us. After nearly three years of the complexity of pandemic travel, IATA’s 2022 Global Passenger Survey (GPS) shows travelers want simplicity and convenience. This is an important message for airlines, but also for airports and governments. They possess many of the facilitation processes that let passengers down at some major airports during this year’s northern summer travel season. According to GPS, a majority of passengers want to use biometrics instead of passports for border processes. And 93% of passengers are interested in Trusted Traveler programs to expedite security screening. Modernizing the moderation experience will not only help alleviate bottlenecks, but also create a better experience for everyone‘ Walsh said.

View the September Passenger Market Analysis (pdf)

IATA Press Release No 51, Geneva – November 7, 2022

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